Om Malik has a good post about how most of the digital music download services are doomed to fail. I wrote about this yesterday and Om’s post just reinforces what I wrote.
Mobile music on phones via cellular companies is going to be the most overrated business move. Why? Mobile operators are not known for their ease of use, and even today (barring voice) new phones are inherently complex. Have you tried to look up calendar or contact information on a Motorola? Imagine downloading music, and listening to it on a phone.
The services that I think will suceed in the long run (besides iTunes) are the likes of emusic.com
that offer music from independant musicians (DEATH TO THE RIAA!!) completely free of any drm. The service is easy to use, relatively inexpensive, and lets users listen to the music anywhere they want thanks to the lack of drm.